Home »Money and Banking » World » Sterling recovers

Sterling recovered from an eight-month low against the euro on Friday as some investors such as macro funds sold into the common currency's recent rally and booked profits before the year end. Gains for the British pound were likely to be capped by uncertainty about UK recovery and expectations that the Bank of England may have to ease monetary policy early next year.

The euro was last down 0.4 percent on the day at 81.90 pence, having earlier risen to 82.25 pence, its highest since mid-April. Traders saw near-term resistance at 82.43, the high reached on April 18, and a sustained break above that level could see the euro reach 82.765 pence, the high hit on April 10.

"There seems a bit of a euro selloff as we approach year end," said a London-based spot trader. "Below 81.70 pence, a few positions may be squeezed, but a sustained move down is unlikely." The pound's drop against the euro helped push its trade-weighted index to a two-month low of 83.1, and analysts expect sterling to underperform against the euro in coming weeks.

"Sterling will struggle against the euro as a UK recovery will be uneven and inflation will be high next year," said Simon Smith, chief economist at FXPro. "For investors looking to preserve capital, sterling will not be the safe-haven that it was during the euro zone debt crisis."

The euro has gained across the board this month, hitting an eight-month high against the dollar and a 17-1/2 month high against the yen. It slipped from those levels on Friday, but for the year it has gained nearly 2 percent against the dollar and over 14 percent against the yen. Against the dollar, sterling was higher on the day at $1.6130, but gains are likely to be limited by worries about the US budget impasse.

Copyright Reuters, 2012


the author

Top
Close
Close