Meeting in Abu Dhabi to examine how to curb a sharp slide in oil prices, the producers said they "reviewed current oil supply and demand fundamentals and noted that 2019 prospects point to higher supply growth than global requirements." They would therefore consider "options on new 2019 production adjustments, which may require new strategies to balance the market," they said in a statement at the end of the meeting. Suheil al-Mazrouei, energy minister of the host country UAE, hinted that producers are preparing to cut output.
"A new strategy needs to be formed... whether it is a cut in production or something else, but it will not be an increase in production," he said. A decision is expected only when the Opec and non-Opec ministers meet in Vienna on December 5 to assess the global energy market. Falih said they would then decide whether to adjust production and by how much.
Oil prices have shed a fifth of their value in just one month after surging to a four-year high in early October, driven by a combination of factors centred on higher supply and fears of sluggish demand. Energy ministers from Russia, Oman, Kuwait and Algeria were among those who attended the one-day meeting. Saudi Arabia has been pumping 10.7 million bpd since October, Falih said.
Ahead of the meeting, he acknowledged that so far there was no new deal to cut production among Opec and non-Opec producers, who struck an agreement in late 2016 to cut output by 1.8 million bpd to tackle an oversupply crisis. "There is no consensus yet among oil producers about cutting production," Falih said.
When asked about the possibility of an output cut, he insisted it was "premature to talk about a specific action". "We have to study all the factors," he said. Brent crude dropped below $70 a barrel on Friday for the first time since April, while the New York's West Texas Intermediate (WTI) sank below $60 a barrel, a nine-month low. In his speech at the start of the meeting, Falih said the recent sharp drop in prices had "surprised us". He said market sentiment had shifted from fears of shortages to worries about oversupply. He also attributed the sharp drop in prices to "microeconomic uncertainties" and signs of a build-up in crude inventories.