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  • Jan 1st, 2005
  • Comments Off on New York cocoa futures end up in quiet year-end business
New York cocoa futures finished a touch higher on Thursday as speculative short-covering was met with fund sales which held prices in a quiet band on 2004's last day of trade, floor sources said. The NYBOT cocoa market will be shut on Friday, December 31, for the New Year holiday. "It was pretty much a stalemate today. We opened up at $1,550 and basically settled a few points away," said one trader.

The New York Board of Trade's front-month March cocoa contract rose $8 to finish that day at $1,547 a tonne, after moving in a quiet $30 range, between $1,540 to $1,570. May cocoa gained $7 at $1,552 and the rest of the board closed $6 to $8 higher.

Brokers said the action was "choppy" in the first hour of trade as a speculative and local short-covering rally lifted prices up to the $1,570 level, before fund selling moved in and was being fed in throughout the balance of the session.

"The market was kind of pinned at the $1,545 level for most of the day," said one. In the short-term, analysts believe the market may chop around in its current range, with the chance for a corrective bounce in the part of January.

"The market is getting itself into a bit of an oversold condition and it needs some kind of correction before we begin to move higher," said one. "I think we'll trade between $1,530 and $1,650 in the next couple of weeks," he added.

In other news, cocoa arrivals at ports in Ivory Coast reached 506,310 tonnes between October 1 and December 26 this year, according to an estimate by major exporters on Thursday.

That compared with 548,815 tonnes delivered to ports during the same period of the 2003/04 season, industry data showed, pointing to a relative pick-up in arrivals after a slow start.

Technical analysts pegged support in March cocoa at Wednesday's low at $1,535, followed by $1,512, while resistance was placed at $1,601 and then between a gap of $1,628 and $1,650.

Estimated final cocoa volume reached 5,545 lots, compared with Wednesday's official count of 9,405 lots.

Open interest grew 884 lots to 117,425 lots as of December 29.

Copyright Reuters, 2005


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